Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 10.221492 11.317275 12.493697 13.852688 15.381880 17.052296 19.019055
2025-09-21 8.281991 9.747908 11.434260 13.526145 16.063083 19.054696 22.871035
2025-09-28 7.013009 8.681641 10.714752 13.393369 16.857747 21.225331 27.208814
2025-10-05 6.315509 8.169062 10.544061 13.845028 18.368908 24.431175 33.305087
2025-10-12 5.754207 7.731708 10.379200 14.236806 19.804413 27.689317 39.956068
2025-10-19 5.204575 7.226234 10.037704 14.307114 20.757939 30.357250 46.140527
2025-10-26 4.700293 6.715850 9.614020 14.179422 21.366380 32.551131 51.897761
2025-11-02 4.263022 6.248852 9.191004 13.981775 21.810882 34.507815 57.531912
2025-11-09 3.882126 5.823334 8.778371 13.737782 22.126121 36.260605 63.052415
2025-11-16 3.569745 5.470358 8.437368 13.559724 22.509225 38.147872 69.079219
2025-11-23 3.317279 5.186715 8.175287 13.475495 23.027762 40.316059 75.958182
2025-11-30 3.166979 5.053004 8.141424 13.770582 24.243491 43.897519 86.207641
2025-12-07 2.949787 4.794781 7.883631 13.658124 24.725035 46.213915 94.414076
2025-12-14 2.726632 4.508224 7.552248 13.377932 24.855622 47.865798 101.524477
2025-12-21 2.553243 4.293037 7.326043 13.267485 25.301050 50.214665 110.654037
2025-12-28 2.478786 4.245547 7.394683 13.725215 26.948526 55.335080 127.363553
2026-01-04 2.400363 4.183680 7.429961 14.118843 28.511020 60.509745 145.352523
2026-01-11 2.286857 4.047715 7.313346 14.191396 29.388318 64.261544 160.500486
2026-01-18 2.159314 3.875414 7.112058 14.066334 29.808502 66.998794 173.514878
2026-01-25 2.034687 3.699354 6.888796 13.871200 30.042807 69.317904 185.879774
2026-02-01 1.915393 3.525053 6.655092 13.629754 30.138068 71.302790 197.730489
2026-02-08 1.812395 3.375548 6.459750 13.453463 30.367653 73.670483 211.331213
2026-02-15 1.726435 3.254006 6.312268 13.370073 30.815009 76.688083 227.761809